{"id":125,"date":"2017-06-08T13:10:00","date_gmt":"2017-06-08T05:10:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.roboadvisor.com.tw\/?p=125"},"modified":"2026-06-05T11:49:05","modified_gmt":"2026-06-05T03:49:05","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e8%82%a1%e5%b8%82%e8%b2%b4%e5%97%8e","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.roboadvisor.com.tw\/?p=125","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u5e02\u8cb4\u55ce?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\u9019\u500b\u554f\u984c\u8868\u9762\u4e0a\u4f86\u770b\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e0d\u662f\u500b\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u591a\u6578\u4eba\u7684\u5171\u8b58\u90fd\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u5e02\u5df2\u7d93\u4e0d\u4fbf\u5b9c\u4e86\uff0c\u4e0d\u8ad6\u662f\u80a1\u5e02\u4e0a\u6f32\u7684\u5e45\u5ea6\u3001Shiller\u672c\u76ca\u6bd4\uff0c\u6216\u662f\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u8a8d\u70ba\u7684\u8861\u91cf\u80a1\u50f9\u55ae\u4e00\u6700\u4f73\u6307\u6a19\u7684\u80a1\u50f9\u6574\u9ad4\u5e02\u503c\/GDP\uff08\u8a72\u6bd4\u7387\u82e5\u8d85\u904e115%\u5c31\u8996\u70ba\u80a1\u50f9\u660e\u986f\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u8a72\u6bd4\u7387\u7684\u6578\u503c\u5247\u5df2\u7d93\u662f133%\uff0c\u6bd42008\u5e74\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u562f\u6642\u9084\u9ad8\uff01\uff09\uff0c\u4e09\u8005\u770b\u4f86\u80a1\u5e02\u90fd\u662f\u5f88\u8cb4\u7684\u3002\u4f46\u540c\u6642\u6211\u5011\u53c8\u770b\u5230\u80a1\u5e02\u6301\u7e8c\u5275\u4e0b\u65b0\u9ad8\u3001\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u6307\u6578\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u986f\u793a\u80a1\u5e02\u5f88\u5e73\u975c\u3002\u9023\u7406\u6027\u7684\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\uff08Warren Buffett\uff09\u5728\u5ddd\u666e\uff08Donald Trump\uff09\u7576\u9078\u4e4b\u5f8c\u90fd\u6301\u7e8c\u52a0\u78bc\u6295\u8cc7\u7f8e\u570b\u80a1\u5e02\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u80a1\u5e02\u662f\u771f\u7684\u8cb4\u55ce\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"507\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.roboadvisor.com.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/chart.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-126\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.roboadvisor.com.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/chart.png 800w, https:\/\/blog.roboadvisor.com.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/chart-300x190.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.roboadvisor.com.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/chart-768x487.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"507\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.roboadvisor.com.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/chart-2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-127\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.roboadvisor.com.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/chart-2.png 800w, https:\/\/blog.roboadvisor.com.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/chart-2-300x190.png 300w, https:\/\/blog.roboadvisor.com.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/chart-2-768x487.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9019\u662f\u73fe\u5728\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u90fd\u5728\u5c0b\u627e\u7684\u7b54\u6848\uff0c\u5927\u5c40\uff08The Big Picture\uff09\u7684\u4f5c\u8005 \u5df4\u91cc\uff0e\u91cc\u85a9\u8332\uff08Barry Ritholtz\uff09\u5728\u5f6d\u535a\u793e\uff08Bloomberg\uff09\u7684\u5c08\u6b04\u4e2d\u5beb\u5230\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u6709\u5e7e\u500b\u539f\u5247\u8981\u6ce8\u610f\uff0c\u4ed6\u8209\u4e866\u9ede\u539f\u5247\u63d0\u9192\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0);color:#ff6600\" 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