{"id":15169,"date":"2026-05-08T19:39:35","date_gmt":"2026-05-08T11:39:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.roboadvisor.com.tw\/?p=15169"},"modified":"2026-05-08T19:47:40","modified_gmt":"2026-05-08T11:47:40","slug":"%e7%82%ba%e4%bd%95%e8%92%99%e5%9c%b0%e5%8d%a1%e7%be%85%e7%ae%97%e5%87%ba%e4%be%86%e7%9a%84%ef%bc%8c%e5%be%80%e5%be%80%e6%af%94excel%e4%be%86%e7%9a%84%e5%b0%91%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.roboadvisor.com.tw\/?p=15169","title":{"rendered":"\u70ba\u4f55\u8499\u5730\u5361\u7f85\u7b97\u51fa\u4f86\u7684\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u6bd4Excel\u4f86\u7684\u5c11\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4e00\u500b\u8b93\u4eba\u7761\u4e0d\u8457\u7684\u554f\u984c<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>1738 \u5e74\uff0c\u4e00\u4f4d\u53eb\u4e39\u5c3c\u723e\u00b7\u767d\u52aa\u5229\uff08Daniel Bernoulli\uff09\u7684\u745e\u58eb\u6578\u5b78\u5bb6\uff0c\u88ab\u4e00\u500b\u8ced\u5c40\u56f0\u64fe\u4e86\u5f88\u4e45\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8ced\u5c40\u7684\u898f\u5247\u5f88\u7c21\u55ae\uff1a\u4e1f\u786c\u5e63\u3002\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u6b63\u9762\u4f60\u62ff 2 \u5143\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u6b63\u9762 4 \u5143\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e09\u6b21 8 \u5143\uff0c\u6bcf\u6b21\u7ffb\u500d\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u51fa\u73fe\u53cd\u9762\u70ba\u6b62\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u7528\u7d19\u7b46\u7b97\u9019\u500b\u8ced\u5c40\u7684\u300c\u671f\u671b\u503c\u300d\uff0c\u4f60\u6703\u5f97\u5230\u4e00\u500b\u8352\u8b2c\u7684\u7b54\u6848\uff1a<strong>\u7121\u9650\u5927<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7406\u8ad6\u4e0a\uff0c\u4f60\u61c9\u8a72\u9858\u610f\u50be\u5bb6\u8569\u7522\u53bb\u73a9\u9019\u500b\u904a\u6232\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f46\u767d\u52aa\u5229\u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u6c92\u6709\u4eba\u2014\u2014\u771f\u7684\u6c92\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u4eba\u2014\u2014\u9858\u610f\u70ba\u9019\u500b\u8ced\u5c40\u4ed8\u51fa\u8d85\u904e\u5e7e\u584a\u9322\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4ed6\u56f0\u60d1\u4e86\u5f88\u4e45\uff0c\u6700\u5f8c\u5beb\u4e0b\u4e00\u53e5\u8a71\uff1a\u300c\u4eba\u5011\u5c0d\u8ca1\u5bcc\u7684\u611f\u53d7\uff0c\u8ddf\u8ca1\u5bcc\u7684\u6578\u5b78\u671f\u671b\uff0c\u662f\u5169\u4ef6\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u4e8b\u3002\u300d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9019\u53e5\u8a71\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u5b78\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u88e1\uff0c\u88ab\u57cb\u4e86\u5feb 300 \u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4f60\u4e0d\u6703\u7d93\u6b77\u300c\u5e73\u5747\u300d<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8b93\u6211\u5148\u544a\u8a34\u4f60\u4e00\u500b\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u6539\u8b8a\u4f60\u770b\u5f85\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u7684\u5c0f\u4f8b\u5b50\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f60\u6709 1,000 \u5143\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7b2c\u4e00\u5e74\uff0c\u8cfa 50%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5e74\uff0c\u8667 30%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u5e74\u300c\u8cfa\u300d10%\uff0c\u5c0d\u5427\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f60\u7b97\u7b97\u770b\u4f60\u7684\u9322\u5269\u591a\u5c11\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>1,000\u00d71.50\u00d70.70=1,050<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5169\u5e74\u4e0b\u4f86\uff0c\u4f60\u53ea\u300c\u8cfa\u300d\u4e86 50 \u5143\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f 210 \u5143\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u90a3\u689d Excel \u4e0a\u6f02\u4eae\u7684\u300c\u5e74\u5316 10%\u300d\u66f2\u7dda\uff0c\u8ddf\u4f60\u9280\u884c\u5e33\u6236\u7684\u771f\u5be6\u6578\u5b57\uff0c<strong>\u6c38\u9060\u4e0d\u6703\u5728\u540c\u4e00\u500b\u9ede\u4e0a<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9019\u500b\u5dee\u8ddd\u4e0d\u662f\u932f\u8aa4\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u904b\u6c23\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u5e02\u5834\u6642\u6a5f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9019\u662f\u6578\u5b78\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bell Labs \u7684\u602a\u4eba<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6545\u4e8b\u8df3\u5230 1956 \u5e74\uff0c\u7d10\u6fa4\u897f\u5dde\u4e00\u68df\u666e\u901a\u7684\u8fa6\u516c\u5927\u6a13\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u88e1\u9762\u6709\u500b\u53eb\u514b\u52de\u5fb7\u00b7\u590f\u8fb2\uff08Claude Shannon\uff09\u7684\u7537\u4eba\u3002\u4ed6\u767d\u5929\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u662f\u767c\u660e\u300c\u8cc7\u8a0a\u7406\u8ad6\u300d\uff08Information Theory\uff09\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u7406\u8ad6\u5f8c\u4f86\u8b93\u7db2\u969b\u7db2\u8def\u3001\u624b\u6a5f\u3001\u6574\u500b\u6578\u4f4d\u6642\u4ee3\u6210\u70ba\u53ef\u80fd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u590f\u8fb2\u4e0b\u73ed\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u6703\u505a\u4e00\u4e9b\u5947\u602a\u7684\u4e8b\u3002\u4ed6\u9a0e\u7368\u8f2a\u8eca\uff0c\u4ed6\u7df4\u96dc\u800d\uff0c\u4ed6\u9020\u4e86\u4e00\u53f0\u6703\u81ea\u5df1\u89e3\u9b54\u8853\u65b9\u584a\u7684\u6a5f\u5668\uff0c\u4ed6\u6253\u9020\u4e86\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u7b2c\u4e00\u53f0\u7a7f\u6234\u5f0f\u96fb\u8166\u2014\u2014\u85cf\u5728\u978b\u5b50\u88e1\uff0c\u7528\u4f86\u7b97\u8f2a\u76e4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4ed6\u9084\u505a\u4e86\u4e00\u4ef6\u4e8b\uff1a\u5077\u5077\u5730\u4ea4\u6613\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u800c\u4e14<strong>\u7e3e\u6548\u9084\u5f88\u4e0d\u932f<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5f9e 1968 \u5e74\u5230 1986 \u5e74\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u5e74\u5316\u5831\u916c\u7387\u7d04 28%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u540c\u671f\u9593\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u662f 27%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u590f\u8fb2\u8ddf\u4e00\u500b\u53eb\u7d04\u7ff0\u00b7\u51f1\u5229\uff08John Kelly Jr.\uff09\u7684\u540c\u4e8b\u2014\u2014\u4e00\u500b\u6703\u5e36\u624b\u69cd\u4e0a\u73ed\u7684\u5fb7\u5dde\u4eba\u2014\u2014\u4e00\u8d77\u5beb\u4e86\u4e00\u7bc7\u6c92\u5e7e\u500b\u4eba\u770b\u5f97\u61c2\u7684\u8ad6\u6587\uff0c\u520a\u767b\u5728 Bell \u7cfb\u7d71\u6280\u8853\u671f\u520a\u4e0a\uff0c\u593e\u5728\u4e00\u5806\u95dc\u65bc\u96fb\u8a71\u4ea4\u63db\u7cfb\u7d71\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u9593\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9019\u7bc7\u8ad6\u6587\u5f8c\u4f86\u6539\u8b8a\u4e86\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4ed6\u5011\u767c\u73fe\u4e86\u4ec0\u9ebc<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u590f\u8fb2\u8ddf\u51f1\u5229\u767c\u73fe\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u5176\u5be6\u5f88\u7c21\u55ae\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u5728\u4e00\u500b\u6703\u8907\u5229\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u88e1\uff0c\u4f60\u4e0d\u6703\u7d93\u6b77\u300c\u5e73\u5747\u300d\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u4f60\u7d93\u6b77\u7684\u662f\u300c\u4e2d\u4f4d\u6578\u300d\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6bcf\u500b\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u90fd\u6d3b\u5728\u4e00\u689d\u8def\u5f91\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u7121\u6578\u5e73\u884c\u5b87\u5b99\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u503c\uff0c\u662f<strong>\u4e00\u689d<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f60\u90a3\u689d\u8def\u5f91\u9577\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6a23\u5b50\uff0c\u53d6\u6c7a\u65bc\u6f32\u8dcc\u7684\u9806\u5e8f\u3001\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u5e45\u5ea6\u3001\u904b\u6c23\u7684\u5206\u5e03\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u800c\u4f60\u90a3\u689d\u8def\u5f91\u7684\u300c\u5178\u578b\u7d50\u679c\u300d\uff0c\u6c38\u9060\u6703\u6bd4 Excel \u4e0a\u7684\u7b97\u8853\u5e73\u5747\u4f4e\u4e00\u622a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f4e\u591a\u5c11\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u590f\u8fb2\u8ddf\u51f1\u5229\u7d66\u51fa\u4e00\u500b\u51b7\u9177\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"481\" height=\"102\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.roboadvisor.com.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-1.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15170\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blog.roboadvisor.com.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-1.png 481w, https:\/\/blog.roboadvisor.com.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-1-300x64.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 481px) 100vw, 481px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6ce2\u52d5\u8d8a\u5927\uff0c\u5dee\u8ddd\u8d8a\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u800c\u4e14\u4e0d\u662f\u7dda\u6027\u5dee\uff0c\u662f\u5e73\u65b9\uff0c\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u7ffb\u500d\uff0c\u300c\u62d6\u66f3\u300d\u8b8a\u56db\u500d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9019\u500b\u73fe\u8c61\u5f8c\u4f86\u88ab\u53eb\u505a <strong>\u6ce2\u52d5\u7387\u62d6\u66f3\uff08Variance Drag\uff09<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6c92\u4eba\u544a\u8a34\u4f60<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u9019\u5c31\u662f\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u590f\u8fb2\u8ddf\u51f1\u5229\u5728 1956 \u5e74\u5c31\u767c\u73fe\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u611b\u5fb7\u83ef\u00b7\u7d22\u666e\uff08Edward Thorp\uff09\u2014\u2014\u90a3\u500b\u5beb\u4e86\u300a\u6253\u6557\u838a\u5bb6\u300b\u7684\u4eba\u2014\u2014\u5728 1960 \u5e74\u4ee3\u5c31\u7528\u9019\u500b\u539f\u7406\u5728\u62c9\u65af\u7dad\u52a0\u65af\u7b97\u724c\u3001\u7136\u5f8c\u5230\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u7ba1\u7406\u5c0d\u6c96\u57fa\u91d1\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>70 \u5e74\u904e\u53bb\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6253\u958b\u4efb\u4f55\u4e00\u4efd\u5171\u540c\u57fa\u91d1\u7684\u5ee3\u544a\uff0c\u4f60\u770b\u5230\u7684\u9084\u662f\u300c\u904e\u53bb 10 \u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u5e74\u5316\u5831\u916c 9.8%\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6253\u958b\u4efb\u4f55\u4e00\u500b\u9000\u4f11\u91d1\u8a66\u7b97\u5668\uff0c\u80cc\u5f8c\u7684\u5f15\u64ce\u9084\u662f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"148\" height=\"48\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.roboadvisor.com.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/image-2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15173\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6253\u958b\u4efb\u4f55\u4e00\u4efd\u9000\u4f11\u898f\u5283\uff0c\u90a3\u689d\u5411\u4e0a\u7684\u6307\u6578\u66f2\u7dda\uff0c\u5047\u8a2d\u7684\u9084\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u6c92\u6709\u6ce2\u52d5\u7684\u5e73\u884c\u5b87\u5b99\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u56e0\u70ba<strong>\u7b97\u8853\u5e73\u5747\u8ce3\u5f97\u6bd4\u8f03\u597d<\/strong>\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u505a\u8d77\u4f86\u6bd4\u8f03\u7c21\u55ae\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u300c\u5e74\u5316 10%\u300d\u807d\u8d77\u4f86\u6bd4\u300c\u4e2d\u4f4d\u6578 8.7%\u300d\u6027\u611f\uff0c\u7c21\u55ae\u3001\u597d\u89e3\u91cb\u3001\u597d\u8ce3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e00\u689d\u5e73\u6ed1\u7684\u6307\u6578\u66f2\u7dda\u770b\u8d77\u4f86\u6bd4\u4e00\u689d\u92f8\u9f52\u72c0\u7684\u771f\u5be6\u8def\u5f91\u5b89\u5fc3\uff0c\u4e00\u500b\u78ba\u5b9a\u7684\u6578\u5b57\u6bd4\u4e00\u500b\u6a5f\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u597d\u8ce3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6574\u500b\u91d1\u878d\u884c\u696d\u6709\u500b\u4e0d\u6210\u6587\u7684\u9ed8\u5951\uff1a\u7528\u7b97\u8853\u5e73\u5747\u5831\u50f9\uff0c\u5047\u88dd\u6ce2\u52d5\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u7b49\u5ba2\u4eba\u7c3d\u7d04\u4e4b\u5f8c\u518d\u8b93\u73fe\u5be6\u53bb\u8655\u7406\u5269\u4e0b\u7684\u4e8b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4e00\u500b\u4f60\u8a72\u8a18\u4f4f\u7684\u554f\u984c<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e0b\u6b21\u6709\u4eba\u79c0\u7d66\u4f60\u770b\u4e00\u5f35\u300c\u5e74\u5316 X% 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