{"id":7186,"date":"2023-11-14T15:10:16","date_gmt":"2023-11-14T07:10:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.roboadvisor.com.tw\/?p=7186"},"modified":"2023-11-14T15:10:16","modified_gmt":"2023-11-14T07:10:16","slug":"%e9%98%bf%e7%88%be%e7%99%bc%e6%8a%95%e8%b3%87%e7%b5%84%e5%90%88%e7%b8%be%e6%95%88%e8%88%87%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e9%87%91%e8%9e%8d%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4%e5%9b%9e%e9%a1%a7-2023%e5%b9%b410%e6%9c%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.roboadvisor.com.tw\/?p=7186","title":{"rendered":"\u963f\u723e\u767c\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u7e3e\u6548\u8207\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u56de\u9867 \u2014 2023\u5e7410\u6708"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\u672c\u6708\u5168\u7403\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u52d5\u76ea\uff0c\u7d1b\u7d1b\u4ee5\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4f5c\u6536\u3002\u96a8\u8457\u5404\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\u516c\u5e03\uff0c\u901a\u81a8\u964d\u6eab\u8da8\u52e2\u4e0d\u8b8a\u3001\u7f8e\u570b\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u5e02\u5834\u964d\u6eab\u8a0a\u865f\u6d6e\u73fe\u3001\u6cb9\u50f9\u53d7\u4ee5\u5df4\u885d\u7a81\u77ed\u66ab\u62c9\u62ac\u5f8c\u56de\u843d\u7b49\uff0c\u8ca8\u5e63\u7dca\u7e2e\u5468\u671f\u63a5\u8fd1\u5c3e\u8072\u5df2\u6210\u70ba\u5e02\u5834\u5171\u8b58\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6b63\u5982\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9b91\u5a01\u723e\u6240\u8a00\uff1a\u300c\u4e8b\u5be6\u662f\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u73fe\u5728\u6839\u672c\u6c92\u6709\u8003\u616e\u964d\u606f\u3002\u6211\u5011\u4e0d\u662f\u5728\u8ac7\u8ad6\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4ecd\u7136\u975e\u5e38\u95dc\u6ce8\u7b2c\u4e00\u500b\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u5373\u300e\u6211\u5011\u662f\u5426\u5df2\u7d93\u63a1\u53d6\u4e86\u5145\u5206\u9650\u5236\u6027\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u5834\uff0c\u4ee5\u5c07\u901a\u81a8\u7387\u96a8\u8457\u6642\u9593\u7684\u63a8\u79fb\u53ef\u6301\u7e8c\u5730\u964d\u81f3 2%\uff1f<\/strong><\/mark>\u300f \u9019\u624d\u662f\u6211\u5011\u95dc\u6ce8\u7684\u554f\u984c\u3002\u300d\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u74b0\u5883\u8207\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\u9577\u671f\u7dad\u6301\u9ad8\u6a94\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u5fa9\u7526\u5145\u6eff\u66f4\u591a\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u6b64\u6642\u66f4\u61c9\u653e\u6162\u8173\u6b65\uff0c\u5be9\u614e\u505a\u51fa\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u5224\u65b7\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff1aMorningstar Direct\uff0c\u963f\u723e\u767c\u6295\u9867\u6574\u7406\u3002\u8cc7\u6599\u671f\u9593\uff1a2023\/01\/01~2023\/10\/31\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2023\u5e7410\u6708\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u5256\u6790<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7f8e\u570b<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7f8e\u570b10\u6708\u4efd\u8dcc\u52e2\u6536\u6582\uff0c\u6a19\u666e500\u6307\u6578\u6536\u8dcc2.2%\uff0c\u9053\u74ca\u5de5\u696d\u6307\u6578\u6536\u8dcc1.36%\uff0c\u90a3\u65af\u9054\u514b\u6307\u6578\u6536\u8dcc2.78%\uff0cVIX\u6307\u6578\u4e0a\u6f323.54%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7f8e\u570b9\u6708\u4efd\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578\uff08CPI\uff09\u5e74\u589e\u7387\u6301\u5e733.7%\u3001\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u81a8\u5e74\u589e\u7387\u964d\u81f34.1%\uff0c\u901a\u81a8\u7de9\u964d\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\u4e26\u672a\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u6708\u5167\u7f8e\u570b10\u5e74\u671f\u516c\u50b5\u5229\u7387\u6500\u5347\u7a81\u78345%\u5927\u95dc\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u81ea\u53bb\u5e74\u5347\u606f\u4ee5\u4f86\u9996\u5ea6\u9023\u7e8c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u500b\u6708\u7dad\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u4e26\u8868\u793a\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u7dca\u7e2e\u81f3\u4eca\u5df2\u6709\u300c\u986f\u8457\u9032\u5c55\u300d\u3002\u7f8e\u570b10\u6708\u4efdISM\u88fd\u9020\u696dPMI\u56de\u843d\u81f346.7\uff0c\u70ba\u4e00\u5e74\u591a\u4f86\u6700\u5927\u55ae\u6708\u964d\u5e45\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u7f8e\u570b\u6c7d\u8eca\u88fd\u9020\u5546\u7f77\u5de5\u548c\u8a02\u55ae\u6e1b\u5c11\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff1b\u76f8\u8f03\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c10\u6708\u4efd\u670d\u52d9\u696dPMI\u540c\u6b65\u964d\u81f351.8\uff0c\u4f01\u696d\u7e2e\u6e1b\u62db\u8058\u898f\u6a21\u3001\u6d3b\u52d5\u6e1b\u7de9\u300210\u6708\u975e\u8fb2\u5c31\u696d\u4eba\u53e3\u65b0\u589e\u6578\u964d\u70ba15\u842c\u4eba\uff0c\u5931\u696d\u7387\u5347\u81f33.9%\u3001\u70ba\u8fd1\u5169\u5e74\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u540c\u6a23\u90e8\u5206\u53d7\u5e95\u7279\u5f8b\u4e09\u5927\u6c7d\u8eca\u88fd\u9020\u5546\u7f77\u5de5\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u96c7\u4e3b\u5c0d\u52de\u5de5\u7684\u5f37\u52c1\u9700\u6c42\u9010\u6f38\u6d88\u9000\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

10\u6708\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5c07\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u65bc5.25%\u81f35.50%\u5340\u9593\uff0c\u5728\u516c\u50b5\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u7ac4\u5347\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u62c9\u62ac\u623f\u8cb8\u3001\u8eca\u8cb8\u7b49\u501f\u8cb8\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u540c\u6a23\u9054\u5230\u901a\u81a8\u964d\u6eab\u7684\u6548\u679c\uff1b\u7136\u800c\u7f8e\u570b\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u570b\u5167\u751f\u7522\u6bdb\u984d \uff08GDP\uff09\u5b63\u589e\u73874.9%\uff0c\u5275\u4e0b\u8fd1\u5169\u5e74\u4f86\u6700\u5927\u589e\u5e45\uff0c\u6d88\u8cbb\u652f\u51fa\u8207\u7d93\u6fdf\u6d3b\u52d5\u4ecd\u5f37\u52c1\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u4e26\u4e0d\u6392\u9664\u672a\u4f86\u518d\u5ea6\u5347\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6578\u6708\u5167\u5c0f\u5e45\u4e0a\u6f320.46%\uff0c\u4e00\u5ea6\u89f8\u53ca107\u5927\u95dc\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u8207\u82f1\u570b<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6b50\u6d32\u65b9\u9762\uff0cSTOXX\u6b50\u6d32600\u6307\u6578\u6536\u8dcc3.93%\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u5bcc\u6642100\u6307\u6578\u6536\u8dcc3.76%\uff0c\u6cd5\u570bCAC40\u6307\u6578\u6536\u8dcc3.61%\uff0c\u5fb7\u570bDAX\u6307\u6578\u6536\u8dcc3.75%\u3002\u6b50\u5143\u534010\u6708CPI\u5e74\u589e\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u964d\u6eab\u81f32.9%\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u81a8\u540c\u6b65\u964d\u70ba4.2%\u3002\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63GDP\u8f03\u524d\u4e00\u5b63\u6e1b\u5c110.1%\uff0c\u5728\u7d93\u6fdf\u840e\u7e2e\u8207\u901a\u81a8\u964d\u6eab\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c(ECB)\u65bc\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u6703\u8b70\u4e2d\u66ab\u505c\u5347\u606f\uff0c\u5c07\u57fa\u6e96\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u57284%\u3002\u82f1\u570b9\u6708\u4efd\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7269\u50f9\u6307\u6578(CPI)\u5e74\u589e\u7387\u6301\u5e736.7%\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u81a8\u964d\u81f36.1%\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\u8ddf\u9032\u7dad\u6301\u57fa\u6e96\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u8b8a\u7684\u6c7a\u8b70\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6b50\u5143\u534010\u6708\u7d9c\u5408PMI\u8dcc\u81f346.5\u3001\u88fd\u9020\u696dPMI\u8dcc\u81f343.0\uff0c\u540c\u70ba\u4e09\u5e74\u4f86\u4f4e\u9ede\u3002\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u7d93\u6fdf\u5728\u5168\u7403\u9700\u6c42\u840e\u7e2e\u3001\u9ad8\u901a\u81a8\u548c\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u6fc0\u9032\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\u7dca\u7e2e\u5468\u671f\u4e0b\u56b4\u91cd\u60e1\u5316\u3001\u5546\u696d\u6d3b\u52d5\u840e\u7e2e\uff0c\u6301\u7e8c\u58df\u7f69\u8870\u9000\u7684\u70cf\u96f2\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u65e5\u672c<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

10\u6708\u4efd\u65e5\u7d93\u6307\u6578\u6536\u6f322%\uff0c\u65e5\u672c9\u6708\u4efd\u6838\u5fc3CPI\u5e74\u589e2.8%\uff0c\u70ba\u4e00\u5e74\u591a\u4f86\u9996\u6b21\u653e\u7de9\u81f3\u4f4e\u65bc3%\u6c34\u6e96\uff0c\u6392\u9664\u6ce2\u52d5\u8f03\u5927\u7684\u71c3\u6599\u8207\u65b0\u9bae\u98df\u54c1\u5f8c\uff0c\u5e74\u589e\u7387\u540c\u6b65\u7de9\u964d\u70ba4.2%\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u592e\u884c\u6708\u5e95\u8abf\u6574\u8ca8\u5e63\u5bec\u9b06\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5141\u8a31\u9577\u671f\u5229\u7387\u8d85\u904e1%\u7684\u4e0a\u9650\uff0c\u671f\u671b\u80fd\u5920\u4fc3\u6210\u85aa\u8cc7\u548c\u7269\u50f9\u540c\u6b65\u7a69\u5b9a\u4e0a\u6f32\u7684\u826f\u6027\u5faa\u74b0\u3002\u65e5\u5713\u805e\u8a0a\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6301\u7e8c\u8fd1\u5e7e\u6708\u7684\u8dcc\u52e2\uff0c\u518d\u5275\u4e00\u5e74\u4f86\u65b0\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u81fa\u7063<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u53f0\u706310\u6708\u5927\u76e4\u6307\u6578\u6536\u8dcc2.16%\uff0c\u53d7\u7f8e\u570b\u516c\u50b5\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u98c6\u5347\u3001\u4ee5\u5df4\u885d\u7a81\u52a0\u5287\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u64f4\u5927\u5c0d\u4e2d\u570b\u5927\u9678AI\u6676\u7247\u7ba1\u5236\u7981\u4ee4\u885d\u64ca\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u4fdd\u5b88\u4ee5\u5c0d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5916\u8cc710\u6708\u8ce3\u8d85\u91d1\u984d\u6e1b\u5c11\u70ba\u53f0\u5e631,368.63\u5104\u5143\u3001\u6de8\u532f\u51fa10.2\u5104\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u53f0\u5e63\u514c\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u6f320.47%\uff0c\u4ee532.42\u5143\u5831\u6536\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5168\u7403\u50b5\u5e02<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7f8e\u570b3\u500b\u6708\u516c\u50b5\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5f9e5.47%\u6f32\u81f35.49%\uff0c2\u5e74\u671f\u516c\u50b5\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5f9e5.05%\u6f32\u81f35.08%\uff0c10\u5e74\u671f\u516c\u50b5\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5f9e4.58%\u6f32\u81f34.93%\u3002\u82f1\u570b10\u5e74\u671f\u516c\u50b5\u5f9e4.45%\u6f32\u81f34.52%\u3002\u65e5\u672c10\u5e74\u671f\u516c\u50b5\u5f9e0.77%\u6f32\u81f30.95%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

10\u6708\u4efd\u7f8e\u570b10\u5e74\u671f\u516c\u50b5\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u591a\u6b21\u7a81\u78345%\u5927\u95dc\uff0c\u527516\u5e74\u4f86\u65b0\u9ad8\u3002\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u524d\u666f\u589e\u52a0\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u50b5\u5e02\u8cc7\u7522\u540c\u6b65\u5448\u73fe\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u51fa\u72c0\u614b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u963f\u723e\u767c\u6838\u5fc3\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u7e3e\u6548\u56de\u9867<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

 <\/td>\u672c\u6708\u6295\u7d44\u5831\u916c(%)<\/strong><\/td>\u57fa\u6e96\u6307\u6578\u5831\u916c(%)<\/strong><\/td>\u76f8\u5c0d\u6307\u6578\u8868\u73fe(%)<\/strong><\/td>\u5e74\u521d\u81f3\u4eca\u5831\u916c(%)<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
\u963f\u723e\u767c\u6838\u5fc330<\/td>-1.88<\/td>-1.88<\/td>0.00<\/td>0.89<\/td><\/tr>
\u963f\u723e\u767c\u6838\u5fc335<\/td>-2.00<\/td>-1.98<\/td>-0.02<\/td>1.21<\/td><\/tr>
\u963f\u723e\u767c\u6838\u5fc340<\/td>-2.11<\/td>-2.03<\/td>-0.08<\/td>1.57<\/td><\/tr>
\u963f\u723e\u767c\u6838\u5fc345<\/td>-2.23<\/td>-2.14<\/td>-0.10<\/td>1.62<\/td><\/tr>
\u963f\u723e\u767c\u6838\u5fc350<\/td>-2.35<\/td>-1.99<\/td>-0.36<\/td>1.81<\/td><\/tr>
\u963f\u723e\u767c\u6838\u5fc355<\/td>-2.53<\/td>-2.34<\/td>-0.19<\/td>1.85<\/td><\/tr>
\u963f\u723e\u767c\u6838\u5fc360<\/td>-2.67<\/td>-2.82<\/td>0.15<\/td>2.01<\/td><\/tr>
\u963f\u723e\u767c\u6838\u5fc365<\/td>-2.79<\/td>-2.98<\/td>0.19<\/td>2.23<\/td><\/tr>
\u963f\u723e\u767c\u6838\u5fc370<\/td>-2.93<\/td>-2.65<\/td>-0.28<\/td>2.47<\/td><\/tr>
\u963f\u723e\u767c\u6838\u5fc375<\/td>-3.05<\/td>-2.79<\/td>-0.25<\/td>2.70<\/td><\/tr>
\u963f\u723e\u767c\u6838\u5fc380<\/td>-3.16<\/td>-2.86<\/td>-0.31<\/td>2.95<\/td><\/tr>
\u963f\u723e\u767c\u6838\u5fc385<\/td>-3.30<\/td>-2.96<\/td>-0.34<\/td>2.98<\/td><\/tr>
\u963f\u723e\u767c\u6838\u5fc390<\/td>-3.45<\/td>-3.02<\/td>-0.43<\/td>3.07<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>
\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff1aMorningstar Direct\uff0c\u963f\u723e\u767c\u6295\u9867\u6574\u7406\u3002\u8cc7\u6599\u671f\u9593\uff1a2023\/01\/01~2023\/10\/31\u3002\u5e63\u5225 : \u7f8e\u5143
\u57fa\u6e96\u6307\u6578\u63a1\u7528\u76f8\u5c0d\u61c9\u80a1\u50b5\u6bd4\u7684\u5168\u7403\u80a1\u7968\u6307\u6578+\u5168\u7403\u7d9c\u5408\u50b5\u5238\u6307\u6578\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  • \u672c\u6708\u5404\u570b\u80a1\u5e02\u6301\u7e8c\u9707\u76ea\uff0c\u963f\u723e\u767c\u6295\u7d44\u5e74\u521d\u81f3\u4eca\u8868\u73fe\u5f9e\u6700\u4fdd\u5b88\u5230\u6700\u7a4d\u6975\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u5831\u916c\u70ba0.89%\u81f33.07%\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • \u5ef6\u7e8c9\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u6295\u7d44\u5167\u7684\u5168\u7403\u80a1\u5e02\u53ca\u623f\u5730\u7522\u90e8\u4f4d\u8868\u73fe\u76f8\u5c0d\u8f03\u5dee\uff0c\u7565\u70ba\u62d6\u7d2f\u6574\u9ad4\u8868\u73fe\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3\u6295\u7d44\u85c9\u7531\u5206\u6563\u98a8\u96aa\u65bc\u8dcc\u52e2\u6536\u6582\u7684\u50b5\u5e02\uff0c\u76f8\u5c0d\u57fa\u6e96\u6307\u6578\u8868\u73fe\u8f03\u597d\uff0c\u5c55\u73fe\u591a\u5143\u914d\u7f6e\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u512a\u52e2\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    \u53f0\u5927\u7522\u5b78\u5408\u4f5c\u6295\u8cc7\u7d44\u5408\u7e3e\u6548\u56de\u9867<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    <\/td>\u672c\u6708\u6295\u7d44\u5831\u916c(%)<\/strong><\/td>\u57fa\u6e96\u6307\u6578\u5831\u916c(%)<\/strong><\/td>\u76f8\u5c0d\u6307\u6578\u8868\u73fe(%)<\/strong><\/td>\u5e74\u521d\u81f3\u4eca\u5831\u916c(%)<\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
    \u53f0\u5927\u6295\u7d4430<\/td>-2.70<\/td>-1.88<\/td>-0.83<\/td>-1.49<\/td><\/tr>
    \u53f0\u5927\u6295\u7d4440<\/td>-2.78<\/td>-2.03<\/td>-0.74<\/td>-0.81<\/td><\/tr>
    \u53f0\u5927\u6295\u7d4460<\/td>-2.74<\/td>-2.82<\/td>0.08<\/td>1.36<\/td><\/tr>
    \u53f0\u5927\u6295\u7d4480<\/td>-2.68<\/td>-2.86<\/td>0.18<\/td>3.69<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>
    \u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff1aMorningstar Direct\uff0c\u963f\u723e\u767c\u6295\u9867\u6574\u7406\u3002\u8cc7\u6599\u671f\u9593\uff1a2023\/01\/01~2023\/10\/31\u3002\u5e63\u5225 : \u7f8e\u5143
    \u57fa\u6e96\u6307\u6578\u63a1\u7528\u76f8\u5c0d\u61c9\u80a1\u50b5\u6bd4\u7684\u5168\u7403\u80a1\u7968\u6307\u6578+\u5168\u7403\u7d9c\u5408\u50b5\u5238\u6307\u6578\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
      \n
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      \n\n\n\n\n\n
      \n\n\n\n

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